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2024-12-13 04:54:32

Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.Giant Wheel Intelligence bought 92.7731 million yuan of leisure seats at its daily limit today, with a turnover of 2.876 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 21.26%. After-hours data show that leisure seats bought 92.7731 million yuan, and special seats for Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 80.2944 million yuan and sold 48.3706 million yuan.The pace of interest rate cuts may be inconsistent. The pound rose to the highest level against the euro since 2022, and the pound rose to the highest level against the euro in more than two and a half years. British government bonds fell because the market expected that the Bank of England would cut interest rates less than Europe. On Tuesday, the pound rose 0.3% against the euro to 82.50p, the first time since April 2022. British government bonds fell across the board, and the 10-year yield rose to 4.33%, the highest since November 28. Traders expect the Bank of England to stay put at its last policy meeting this year next week and maintain a cautious stance on subsequent interest rate cuts. The country's growth remains strong, while inflation in some areas remains high. At the same time, it is widely believed that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday to support the economy. "The 0.8200 mark is imminent," said Brad Bechtel, global foreign exchange director of Jefferies. "It is clear that the Bank of England will still lag far behind the European Central Bank in the pace and extent of interest rate cuts.


On the 10th, rebar rose by 2.50%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 10th, the main contract rebar was 2,505, up or down by +2.50%, with a turnover of 3,030,500 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 42,330 lots. The total turnover of rebar futures contracts was 3,944,100 lots, an increase of 1,651,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 1,524,500 lots, a decrease of 101,900 lots from the previous day. The short positions of the top 20 seats in the contract were 1,598,000 lots, a decrease of 105,900 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Hershey: After Michael Del Bozo leaves, CEO Michelle Barker will temporarily take over the American candy business. A successor will be sought from internal and external candidates.The three cities of Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan signed the Action Plan for the Integrated Development of Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan in 2025, and the three cities of Hunan, Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan jointly signed the Action Plan for the Integrated Development of Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan in Xiangtan on the 10th, fully implementing and accelerating 126 key cooperation items, focusing on "urbanization" and "high quality", and building Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan into a mega-city. The action plan calls for speeding up the construction of high-quality urbanization development system and mechanism around the comprehensive reform of market-oriented allocation of elements in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan metropolitan area, the market integration of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan metropolitan area, and the system and mechanism integration of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan educational and scientific talents; Focus on industrial planning guidance, major factor guarantee, park cooperation and co-construction, application scenario expansion, business environment optimization, and establish a coordinated development mechanism for Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan industries; Promote the formation of a comprehensive transportation system and a convenient and efficient modern logistics system. (Xinhua News Agency)


Venezuelan opposition leader edmundo Gonzá lez: I believe I will go to Venezuela to take over as president.Lexin Technology bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan at the daily limit of 20cm in Shanghai Stock Connect today. Lexin Technology bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan at the daily limit of 20cm today, with a turnover of 1.38 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 7.38%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shanghai Stock Connect bought 166 million yuan and sold 203 million yuan, and the special seats of the two institutions sold 66.1791 million yuan.On the 10th, butadiene rubber rose by 2.91%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 10th, the main contract butadiene rubber closed at 2,502, up or down by +2.91%, with a turnover of 276,300 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,308 lots. The total number of contracts for butadiene rubber futures was 377,800 lots, an increase of 120,100 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 68,000 lots, an increase of 631 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 74,800 lots, an increase of 138 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)

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